Showing posts with label Rockies Report. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rockies Report. Show all posts

Thursday, April 3, 2014

Campaigning For The Hall

It's that time again and at FCM we've decided to renounce the Hall of Fame memberships for previously inducted players by Mogul. The players will have to go back through the GM voting process to earn back their spot in the FCM shrine. The full list can be found here and I've provided some guidelines I recommend following for the voting process here.

I have a few players, two from my former Rockies, that I feel should get in. As well as another player who's accomplishments would probably be overlooked, and finally a player who many may vote for that I think upon a deeper look does not deserve a spot in the Hall.

1B Jose Rabena: He got to 400 home runs, 1,000 runs, and 1,250 RBI. Some very impressive numbers, but I think what I'm most proud of are his walk totals. I believe he ranks second in our FCM career walks mark. To have the discipline to walk almost 1,400 times is nothing short of amazing! Lastly, I'd like to point out that for basically his entire career he was going up against Steve Miller in the NL for the MVP Awards. It's also odd that he had six .990+ OPS seasons and only three All-Star nods. Just crazy.

C Gabriel Gamora: A guy who I think is FCM's best catcher. In a time where you seemingly either got only offense OR defense from the catching position, he provided both. Getting to over 1,100 RBI is no easy task when you're starting 120-130 games per season (Gamora would've had over 1,300 RBI on a full season scale). You also can't deny his defensive presence. He threw out 31% of base stealers for his career and got four Gold Gloves (probably should've beaten out Jarmel in '25). As far as catchers go, if he's not the top guy, he's damn close.

SS Peter Conwell: 1,504 runs scored means he averaged 107 runs scored in his career. While none of his other numbers are super impressive, he did show that he's a true five-tool player. In a fourteen year career Conwell per season averaged:

 107 R 26 2B 19 HR 64 RBI 57 BB 54 SB

Combine those numbers with his All-Star games and the peace of mind in knowing that his Gold Glove wasn't a fluke and he should be in.

3B Mark McShane: Should not be in! Remember those guidelines? When you get to #6, you 'll see I'm saying to put stock into McShane's eight All-Star games and multiple Gold Gloves. However that's where it stops. You might want to note that his second Gold Glove (at 2B) was a fluke due to Mogul being fixated on fielding percentage. McShane may have been rated well at 2B, but his career defensive numbers paint a different picture. He was a poor fielding 2B. He has no counting numbers to highlight his accolades. He was elite for a few years and then his health caught up to him and he quickly became a roving stopgap starter. Not what you think of what you hear the words "Hall of Fame."

Monday, January 21, 2013

FCM All-Time Team: Bench

BENCH


Catcher
Josh Jarmel (CHW) – 13 Seasons
1,921 Hits 938 R 393 2B 258 HR 1,018 RBI 28 SB .282/.343/.463

5 All-Star Games, 3 Gold Gloves

This was probably the closet position race. Like I said above, Gamora wins out because he had slightly better numbers and one more Gold Glove. Before people start talking about how Coors helped out Gamora, let’s remember Comiskey and GABP aren’t exactly pitcher friendly either. Back onto Jarmel, from ’22 to ’28 he was a very reliable catcher – winning all of his Gold Gloves and 4 of his 5 All-Star appearances during that time.

Corner Infielder
Manny Capestany (WSN) – 16 Seasons
1,984 Hits 1,260 R 390 2B 470 HR 1,363 RBI 42 SB .264/.367/.510

4 All-Star Games

Capes may be my favorite player in the league. He was always overshadowed by the likes of Steve Miller, James Aitkenhead, and Jose Rabena to name a few. However, he quietly put together some very impressive numbers. How long he’ll stay on this list is a question. I also have to wonder what Capes’ numbers would’ve looked like had he not played in such a bland hitting park.

Middle Infielder
Rudy Delgado (CLE) – 16 Seasons
2,340 Hits 1,125 R 441 2B 143 HR 1,097 RBI 110 SB .299/.366/.423

3 All-Star Games, 2 Gold Gloves

Delgado moved around a bit during his career, but got things going in Cleveland – winning his two Gold Gloves in “The Mistake By The Lake.” His slash line isn’t that impressive, but remember he’s an infielder. Where his job is to scoop up baseballs an get on-base. He did those two things and he did them quite well throughout his career.

Outfielder
Mike Gartner (CIN) – 13 Seasons (Active)
1,920 Hits 1,147 R 364 2B 353 HR 1,240 RBI 71 SB .299/.394/.536

6 All-Star Games, 1 MVP Award, 4 Gold Gloves

Back in the 2020’s it was Miller, Gartner, and Eason in the heart of Cincinnati’s lineup. That may go down as the best 3-4-5 trio the league will ever see. The all-around ability that Gartner displays is phenomenal. He can hit for average, power, walk, and play good defense. It's possible he could overtake one of the “starting” positions in the future, but he appears to be in sharp decline. If he falls off too quickly I doubt he’ll have good enough numbers.



Up Next:
FCM All-Time Team: Rotation
FCM All-Time Team:Bullpen
FCM All-Time Team: League Vote
FCM All-Time Team: Final Wrap-up 

Sunday, January 20, 2013

FCM All-Time Team: Starting Lineup

As I said on the message board, I will be looking at our best of the best in FCM as we've now concluded 25 seasons. Players are judged on what they have done to date. Certainly there are some players who'll eventually knock some of the current players off the list, but only what a player has done to this point in their career will count.

I plan on updating this every two or three seasons. I may do a league vote or I may just update as I see fit. Speaking of league vote, everyone in the league will have a chance to vote for two players on this year's team. I am deciding on the starting nine position players (including DH), four bench players, six starting pitchers, and four relief pitchers.

Once I have announced all of the players I have decided on, I will post a poll in the League News on the message board for everyone to vote on. It will likely be done in two rounds of voting. One with the inital list and then a second, narrowed down list based on the initial voting. It does not matter if the league votes for two positions players, two pitchers, or one of each.

After the final voting has concluded I will update the lists to reflect the elected players. Then I will follow up with a "Heat Seekers" and "Looking On The Outside In" lists. "Heat Seekers" is for active players who didn't have enough credentials to make the list this time around and could convincingly one day have a storied enough career to make the top 25. "Looking On The Outside In" will list out all players I seriously considered and have either retired or are running on fumes that will never have the credentials to make the list.

Let's get rolling...

LINEUP

 

Catcher
Gabriel Gamora (COL) – 15 Seasons
1,858 Hits 921 R 367 2B 277 HR 1,162 RBI 7 SB .277/.338/.462

5 All-Star Games, 4 Gold Gloves

Gamora narrowly edges out Jarmel. Their offensive production is very similar, but it’s Gamora’s superior defense that gets him the nod. While Gamora played in nearly 400 more games at catcher, he committed fewer errors and allowed less passed balls. His 31% caught stealing isn’t too shabby either.

First Base
Steve Miller (CIN) – 16 Seasons
2,506 Hits 1,388 R 414 2B 514 HR 1,630 RBI 30 SB .310/.386/.560

11 All-Star Games, 3 MVP Awards, 5 Gold Gloves

Easy choice here, Miller may go down as the best position player in FCM. He could hit for average, power, and get on-base. From 2018-22 he was simply dominating. If Mogul took crossing leagues into consideration, he might have another MVP Award (Lars Anderson – 2019). Oh yeah, those five gold gloves are pretty impressive as well.

Second Base
Matt McArthur (CLE) – 16 Seasons
2,776 Hits 1,290 R 523 2B 92 HR 1,092 RBI 246 SB .324/.376/.439

6 All-Star Games, 2 Gold Gloves

McArthur is the current hits leader of our generated players. Though his DRAA suggests he was an average fielder, I don’t buy it. He had great vitals and won a couple of Gold Gloves. He was simply the perfect middle infielder – good on-base ability, speed, and defense.

Third Base
Ed Edwards (TBR) – 16 Seasons
2,077 Hits 1,199 R 351 2B 323 HR 1,204 RBI 62 SB .286/.391/.480

4 All-Star Games, 1 MVP Award

The hot corner was a tough choice. Edwards’ power numbers aren’t as impressive, but when you consider he played six seasons in Tampa they aren’t bad at all. As shown in his years with the White Sox if he played in hitter friendly parks more in his prime he could be pushing 400 homers.

Short Stop
Jay Sullivan (BAL) – 13 Seasons (Active)
2,508 Hits 1,134 R 462 2B 189 HR 1,168 RBI 59 SB .310/.351/.452

10 All-Star Games, 3 Gold Gloves

He’s probably the only active player on this list that has the ability to considerably pile on the numbers going forward. He’ll be just 32 next season while having a legitimate shot at reaching 3,000 hits – something no other Mogul born player has done. His Gold Gloves at two different positions is very impressive. How impressive will his final stat lines be? Only time will tell.

Left Field
James Aitkenhead (CHC) – 16 Seasons
2,337 Hits 1,346 R 510 2B 452 HR 1,588 RBI 37 SB .292/.371/.539

7 All-Star Games, 2 MVP Awards, 2 Gold Gloves

For ten seasons (2016-2025) he only notched a season OPS under .900 once. That’s Aitkenhead’s story – consistency. He could be counted on for 40 doubles and 35ish homers during that stretch. Even though his Gold Gloves are probably a product of Mogul overvaluing errors for the award, he still has them to go on an amazing resume.

Center Field
Rafael Romero (CHC) – 15 Seasons
2,226 Hits 1,439 R 403 2B 100 HR 751 RBI 811 SB .302/.385/.417

2 All-Star Games, 1 Gold Glove

Romero doesn’t have the awards many others have, but he’s the stolen bases leader of qualifying players. Though 800 stolen bases with a career .385 OBP is impressive, he may be best remembered for the controversy that surrounded his contract not once, but twice.

Right Field
Frank Prywes (HOU) – 16 Seasons
2,288 Hits 1,189 R 526 2B 346 HR 1,411 RBI 12 SB .305/.381/.523

7 All-Star Games, 2 MVP Awards

In the early 2020’s hitters were feared in the NL Central. Prywes might not be as feared as others, but his career hitting line is impressive. Like Aitkenhead, he too was very consistent (100+ RBI from 2021-27). One has to wonder what could’ve been had a broken wrist in April of ’31 not have basically brought his career to an end.

Designated Hitter
Tim Vandyke (DET/LAA) – 14 Seasons (Active)
2,131 Hits 1,271 R 455 2B 440 HR 1,551 RBI 4 SB .287/.373/.537

7 All-Star Games, 4 MVP Awards

There’s a very real possibility that Vandyke could surpass Steve Miller as “FCM’s Best Hitter”. He’s not too far behind in Runs and RBI. The amount needed to surpass Miller in Runs and Hits are obtainable. Another thing I like about Vandy is that he hasn’t needed friendly confines to help out his numbers.

How would you organize this lineup from one to nine?

Up Next: 
FCM All-Time Team: Bench
FCM All-Time Team: Rotation
FCM All-Time Team:Bullpen
FCM All-Time Team: League Vote
FCM All-Time Team: Final Wrap-up 

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Repost: Stop Being The Lamb That's Led To The Slaughter


It seems this could use to be re-posted on our blog. I urge you guys to read this and BELIEVE in it.

From time to time I've heard grumblings of how the administrators and moderators reign supreme in this league. And with the grumblings arising again, it's frustrating to hear when really it's the league's fault.

When I get into conversations about the issue, I know in the back of their minds they're wondering if there's cheating going on. I would highly doubt the guys in charge would stoop that low. The reason the ones in charge are in that position is because they've shown that they know what they're doing. You don't give a position of responsibility to a person who hasn't shown the ability to effectively run a team.

So why are they winning? First, they can recognize talent. Just cause someone has a good overall or peak rating doesn't mean they're going to produce for you. "X" number rating doesn't equal "X" number of production. Power, for example, could be doubles power or home run power. While minor league numbers aren't to 100% believed, you can get a good idea on things like 2B, HR, BB, and K. Then based on that information, you can plug in expected production from other ratings.

Second, they know how and when to trade. People who have that "trade itch" seem to screw their teams over with the desire to continually trade. The good ones will always entertain trade possibilities, but don't pounce on the opportunity unless it makes sense.

But, the biggest reason why the administrators and moderators reign supreme is that they know how prospects develop. It goes beyond being able to recognize a good prospect. In Mogul players only progress once per season. Now I know some of you are saying, "I've seen a guy jump twice in a season before". You aren't wrong, but what you've seen is a progression and a random jump.

We all know talent distribution is random. Players sometimes jump, players sometimes fall. If it's a talent distribution jump or drop, it's usually accompanied by a health change. Health will only progress and only progress +3 when a player hits their projection debut. The only time when a player's health drops is when the player is regressing. So if you notice a health change on a player that you know isn't regressing yet the jump/drop is random talent distribution.

With knowing how to recognize a random jump from a normal progression jump you can figure out if a player still has the possibility of progressing or not in the current season. This is where a lot of the elite GMs do their work. If they know a prospect has already jumped, they'll try and sell high on that prospect. On the flip side, they'll also consider this when trading for a prospect.

EXAMPLE

A 75/85 rated prospect on opening day jumps to 80/90 mid-season. Once he ages he'll likely fall back to 80/85, so buying on the 90 peak is buying into value that isn't there.

By looking at old files you can get a better sense of how much a player should drop when he ages. Seeing patterns in past development can assist in figuring out where a player should end up.

For the exampled prospect one might think they should trade an 87 or 88 rated veteran. If you continually do this you're selling yourself short and continually giving the administrators and moderators an advantage.

My advice to the league is to research. Know what you're holding. Know what you're trading for. I see people continually trading an 88 rated veteran for a prospect who'll become an 80/85 or a 92 rated veteran for a prospect who'll drop to 84/90. Now certainly age and salary can be a factor, but I'm talking about instances where age and salary are not a deterrent on trade value.

Look at the opening day file and compare the prospect to what he looks like now. Then check out old files to see how a prospect's peak usually drops when he ages. If you do these things, I guarantee you'll start to make better trades.

Thursday, November 8, 2012

Why Movement Isn't All It's Cracked Up To Be

The greatest thing you can do with Mogul is start up your own single player mode and go through the edit player process of the predicted stats. From there you can figure out what makes Mogul tick. You'll find at times a player's ratings don't realistically suggest his projected performance.

You'll find in the pitching predicted stats Power and Movement work against each other. For example, if you give a pitcher 50 more strikeouts (with changing nothing else) his Movement will go down. This is why pitchers with elite Power and Movement (90+) are rare.

In this league it's obvious "80" has become the standard number people want to at least see somewhere in a pitcher's ratings. The higher, the better, right? Well, not exactly.

I began thinking about a player I had (Brent Ruediger) and a player I attempted to trade for (Brian Singer). While they are solid pitchers, I had always felt they never pitched up to their Movement ratings since both have considerably high career OBA. So, I decided to isolate ratings and see what they look like when you remove the inflation.

Control = Walks
Power = Strikeouts
Movement = Hits and Home Runs

The results below are taken from pitchers actual career stats. SPs must have at least 450 IP and RPs must have 150 IP. The last two columns look deeper into where the pitcher gets his Movement from - Home Runs or Hits.

The end results are clear. While this doesn't take stadium effects into account, the results shows that low Power pitchers consistently give up more Hits or Home Runs than their Movement suggests.

PlayerTeam
BB/9K/9HR/9H/9OBA
CtlPwrMovMov-HRMov-H
Ainza, Gaétan---2.777.941.078.36.2408187867486
Ballou, Chris---3.195.260.959.34.2617770787974
Brodt, Willis---3.936.330.6710.23.2777277798865
Camardan, Joél---3.848.560.918.38.2417291918086
Clapsaddle, Dennis---2.807.550.738.18.2378185998688
Claussen, Denny---3.595.601.5410.51.2887473425859
Cortes, Leon---3.854.860.7511.40.3057268608549
Coulthard, Todd---3.025.241.499.10.2587970616076
Diaz, Javy---3.355.670.919.25.2627673798074
Endreson, Aaron---4.209.191.178.92.2506995767181
Fontela, Giovanni---3.675.470.529.08.2597472949476
Geist, Matt---2.576.280.898.98.2568277838177
Gongolez, Victor---4.968.521.218.71.2496391767081
Hess, Jeremy---3.866.271.2410.17.2797277576864
Hobbs, David---3.426.661.149.91.2747679647267
Hudson, Scott---3.824.520.9010.49.2887266648059
Jeter, James---3.737.951.448.59.2467387696183
Lomax, Stan---4.318.880.587.99.23569931069289
Lovegrove, Sean---3.206.551.4610.71.2887778446059
MacIntyre, Edmund---2.934.851.199.99.2808068597064
Mackellar, Trey---3.525.810.689.94.2737574818868
Maes, Vladimir---3.736.371.249.15.2567377716877
Manning, Clay---3.455.001.039.16.2607569767675
Mathias, Josh---3.866.241.6110.11.2797277445564
McHaffie, Adam---3.997.641.139.51.2647185707273
McShannachan, Don---3.095.510.988.65.2517872827780
Pincay, Alex---3.448.241.258.87.2527589726880
Plumb, Damon---4.266.140.979.86.2756976697866
Pope, Pat---6.819.961.118.94.25049100797381
Priddy, Paul---3.336.570.738.31.2417679978686
Ramirez, Vernon---3.146.370.889.97.2767877728166
Regaldo, Micah---2.605.841.099.54.2688274697470
Remillard, Travis---5.006.721.3310.23.2806380546564
Rowell, Rob---3.466.950.959.15.2607581787875
Samson, Lou---2.573.711.2411.54.3078261416848
Shinault, Jeff---2.825.870.519.58.2668074919472
Shoffner, Garrett---2.846.351.248.57.2458077776884
Smith, Sean---4.257.501.588.82.2476984645682
Stewart, Dick---3.216.290.768.78.2507777918581
Sturgeon, Philip---5.205.200.729.84.2756170788766
Suter, Brian---3.144.810.7710.08.2797868748564
Thibeau, Jason---3.006.911.2410.06.2767981596866
Tinall, Raul---3.065.731.149.49.2637873707273
Topciy, Brett---4.518.091.298.53.2456788756684
Troncoso, Fernando---3.376.851.108.35.2407680857386
Vafiadis, Jeffery---4.857.581.028.04.2346485917690
Valtir, Houston---4.688.161.589.22.2606689565675
Verganor, Alberto---3.587.561.298.81.2507485726781
Warden, Andy---6.406.160.448.69.2565276999677
Weaver, Matthew---4.116.151.067.87.2307076927592
Wenda, Jordan---4.659.291.458.26.2386696736188
White, Owen---3.797.200.859.05.2567382848277
White, Will---2.764.641.018.89.2568167797677
Wildman, Ryan---4.387.850.988.13.2366887917789
Winchester, Joshua---5.436.410.709.91.2766078788766
Younger, Vince---3.546.360.988.66.2507577837781
Zorros, Ezra---3.706.561.148.75.2527379777280
Ramirez, EdgarARI3.827.011.248.92.2527281736880
Sather, AdamARI3.406.580.859.36.2637679808273
Varola, CarlosARI6.147.541.699.89.2735485455368
Ward, ErikARI2.335.781.349.98.2768474566566
Winegar, ScottARI3.716.871.268.87.2537380726879
Epner, TimATL3.835.971.009.96.2757275687766
Pladera, NorbertoATL3.318.631.369.41.2647791626473
Bonin, CraigBAL3.124.781.359.73.2687867606470
Byler, DarrenBAL3.555.551.108.86.2517572787380
Fitrakis, MikeBAL2.756.211.189.05.2568176737077
Parington, DamienBAL2.865.111.189.81.2748069627067
Trandel, ShawnBAL3.558.411.049.36.2637590747573
Anthony, BradBOS2.596.780.608.79.2518280969180
Attaway, GregBOS3.158.251.038.02.2327889927691
Diaz, EdBOS3.345.911.029.92.2737674697668
Gardner, ToddBOS4.697.810.908.66.2476586888082
Hellesto, MorenoBOS2.957.401.148.73.2517984777280
Landreau, PaulBOS5.4910.330.777.48.220591021088598
Monger, JeffBOS3.226.740.399.64.2697780939870
Reddan, DamienBOS4.206.451.7310.37.2826978385162
Reiter, JaysonBOS2.047.711.078.97.2538786787479
Santarelli, WilliamBOS3.228.590.978.46.2417791897886
Smith, BoBOS3.358.500.707.49.22276911098797
Snodgrass, JacobBOS3.837.681.418.13.2367286766289
Spenser, DavisBOS3.877.461.388.19.2377284776388
Salcido, PedroCHC3.086.231.099.33.2627876727474
Stuit, BillCHC3.097.431.048.86.2537884797579
Enriquez, RicardoCHW2.284.951.098.95.2558568777478
Lydell, PaulCHW3.785.900.519.75.2757374859466
McGuire, ScottCHW4.896.670.488.32.24264791059585
Tuyet, PatrickCHW1.687.040.868.78.2509082888281
Warneke, BrettCHW3.305.321.318.40.2387771786688
Weston, KevinCHW3.557.071.308.95.2597582676676
Budisantoso, EfrainCIN3.097.040.958.80.2517882847880
Rawls, WillCIN3.266.011.069.53.2647775727573
Weaver, MattCIN3.238.250.758.20.2387789988688
Coztana, FranciscoCLE3.237.541.118.65.2477785807382
Jenson, BillCLE3.176.171.0610.14.2787876647565
Strubbe, JoeCLE4.368.631.398.53.2416891746386
Abcejo, FredericCOL3.266.090.759.02.2597776868676
Christner, RyanCOL2.556.620.798.21.2418379958486
Feldman, BruceCOL2.954.311.2110.03.2807964586964
Nemchyonok, TimCOL2.825.350.9310.67.2908071627958
Ouintana, AdolfoCOL3.267.780.858.45.2447786918284
Poez, EdmundCOL4.3711.240.746.85.2056810811786106
Sakamoto, RyuCOL3.837.020.869.09.2587281838276
Zlotnick, SeanCOL3.217.810.618.33.24077861029086
Carretero, ArmandoDET3.529.431.148.36.2407596837286
Hyte, DaveDET4.937.430.979.57.2666484747872
Lammas, DerekDET2.338.380.907.71.22684901008094
Robinson, TayeDET3.698.441.248.34.2397490806887
Trembath, JeffDET2.348.581.048.03.2338491917590
Voss, ChrisDET3.466.311.208.26.2407577817086
Wadley, BorisDET5.228.211.449.26.2616189616174
Charlton, ArthurFLA2.437.751.086.90.205848610574106
Craven, ShaneFLA2.666.720.797.68.22582801048495
Jackson, LevonFLA1.966.600.477.78.22887791149593
Porteous, LeighFLA2.667.040.868.45.2428281928285
Radway, IsaacFLA3.087.850.766.46.195788712385112
MacBeath, EricHOU2.634.740.629.44.2668267879072
Sink, JustinHOU2.484.831.189.68.2738368637068
Tapani, ZachHOU4.218.631.228.21.2366991836989
Threadgold, JamesHOU2.6311.351.137.47.22082108957298
Woodcock, KurtHOU1.856.170.718.15.23788761008788
Deel, RobKCR2.686.540.998.46.2438278877785
Kerry, EricKCR2.354.121.018.99.2578463787677
Lucey, SebastienKCR3.775.210.6410.40.2897370738958
MacDonald, TomKCR5.179.610.828.10.2366298978389
Macies, SantosKCR2.789.050.527.32.216819411994100
Manarez, LeonKCR2.576.470.518.43.24482781039484
Mark, ZackKCR1.955.660.888.57.2468773898183
Raines, JimKCR2.756.681.259.23.2598179696876
Ruediger, BrentKCR1.474.810.979.61.2689168737870
Widdup, JacobKCR2.309.070.637.72.22785941099094
Delacruz, JoséLAA2.484.021.269.96.2768363586866
Horton, TobeyLAA1.675.250.768.50.2469070938583
Kesterson, RyanLAA3.039.540.927.99.2337997958090
Mantle, JayLAA2.825.970.328.23.241807511210186
McLaughlin, MasonLAA2.587.370.667.44.22182841118997
Pena, JavyLAA2.515.880.609.30.2638374899173
Robinson, JayLAA1.856.180.917.78.2288876988093
Swint, ArneLAA2.665.441.3411.56.3028272416551
Williams, DemontLAA2.004.930.688.35.2428768988885
Barnett, BradyLAD3.095.780.8310.30.2817874718363
Bunning, JeffLAD3.949.071.168.52.2447294807184
Cook, BrentLAD4.947.620.868.82.2526485868280
Dunham, JeffLAD4.909.210.909.58.2606495808075
Faulkner, JeffLAD3.307.840.688.59.2457786968884
Buckun, JamieMIL3.436.160.878.73.2517676878180
Crum, BillyMIL3.626.670.858.06.2347479978290
McDonald, CodyMIL3.256.350.897.94.2337777968190
Thompson, RichMIL3.007.901.018.94.2527987817680
Torres, TomaszMIL2.093.921.299.76.2748662586667
Wearmouth, JeffMIL3.749.091.028.06.2347394917690
Garcia, GalenoMIN3.737.051.089.20.2617382737474
Lopez, AlfredoMIN2.835.790.419.46.2698074929870
Remes, JoélMIN4.655.980.748.90.2536675908679
Thorne, BarryMIN2.705.341.049.25.2628171747574
Violette, ReedMIN3.028.191.149.21.2587989737276
Belovsky, MathewNYM2.616.420.737.87.23182781038692
Huckle, GlennNYM3.445.481.067.83.2327572917591
Jimenez, JoséNYM3.343.880.559.11.2647662909373
Kirsopp, GaryNYM3.298.650.627.37.22077921139098
McCliverty, TravisNYM3.447.360.568.28.24375841029285
Pagano, DustinNYM3.325.821.258.90.2547674716878
Permenter, KevinNYM3.718.130.838.03.2327388998391
Sampson, DaveNYM2.486.350.769.09.2568377888577
Strickland, EricNYM3.907.100.568.62.24772821009282
Thomas, AllenNYM2.355.820.918.54.2478474888082
Ashe, GlennNYY3.087.330.828.99.2567883868377
Autrey, MatthewNYY3.424.750.9010.48.2877667658060
Fenwick, ClaudeNYY3.327.070.839.53.2657682808372
Greensite, VaughnNYY2.957.121.018.06.2357982917689
Hunssinger, HolgerNYY3.565.591.079.90.2757572667466
Matteson, CoryNYY4.249.120.988.18.2356994927889
Mitford, DaveNYY3.095.191.079.80.2717870687469
Tincher, JustinNYY2.084.511.229.19.2618666686974
Verploegh, ShaneNYY4.298.751.619.32.2596992565576
Wolper, GrahamNYY4.309.801.018.35.2396999887687
Young, AaronNYY3.277.230.968.78.2507783847881
Cote, JimOAK2.228.261.008.07.2338589927790
Dugas, ArthurOAK3.118.311.128.22.2387889857388
McDaniel, ChrisOAK2.776.331.138.31.2428177837285
Rodriguez, JamieOAK2.095.641.2710.00.2748673596767
Arikawa, RichPHI2.258.981.038.14.2358594907689
Brett, JeffPHI2.615.810.898.90.2548274848178
Cuneo, AngelPHI3.836.120.878.28.2377276958188
Greene, LeonPHI3.236.540.758.70.2507778918581
Louate, VladPHI3.636.891.169.00.2587481727176
Macilvride, ZachPHI3.777.941.178.02.2327387877191
McCullar, LucasPHI2.305.820.627.66.22885741089093
Orge, GeraldoPHI2.756.910.548.32.24081811059386
Teepe, AdamPHI3.079.280.948.30.2367895937989
Villareda, GiovanniPHI2.828.900.516.84.206809312594106
Wakisaka, FujifusaPHI3.827.541.088.26.2377285877488
Youngs, ChrisPHI4.209.131.397.38.2186995876399
Alma, OscarPIT2.804.940.989.66.2708168727769
Benjamin, JackPIT3.116.770.919.47.2657880778072
Coldiron, WillPIT2.904.781.119.85.2748067657367
Davis, DushawnPIT3.176.351.1010.16.2777877647365
Iwahashi, UchimaroPIT2.447.241.108.49.2438483837385
Lingrell, VicentePIT3.087.371.648.76.2507884605481
Luck, BrianPIT2.455.870.668.50.2468374978983
Pavilaitis, CameronPIT2.274.771.029.23.2668567737672
Sadlier, AdamPIT2.767.100.717.99.23481821028790
Arnold, JoeSDP2.686.300.568.27.24282771039285
Colley, BrianSDP2.639.000.867.53.22182941048297
Deforest, BryanSDP1.954.860.928.58.2468768888083
Donohue, TerrySDP4.799.910.878.76.2496599888181
Fileto, CarloSDP2.638.430.957.70.2258290997995
Fractenberg, JamesSDP2.514.860.928.62.2488368868082
Gonzaba, AlfonsoSDP2.466.590.588.71.2518379979280
Jackson, AlanSDP3.417.480.556.71.205768412493106
Kearsey, AaronSDP2.456.460.888.53.2458378908184
Luquis, EfrainSDP3.207.170.779.42.2657782828572
Mariani, AaronSDP2.548.221.178.66.2478389787182
Plasencia, GaetanSDP3.728.220.637.66.22773891099094
Smith, BrianSDP2.168.410.927.00.209869010980104
Tista, LeonSDP6.327.181.138.36.2375282857288
Dickerson, ChrisSEA1.718.561.048.38.2418991867586
Draper, JeffSEA2.706.500.608.15.23881781039188
Fimbrez, RafaelSEA3.407.441.178.71.2477684787182
Koda, IchiroSEA2.639.581.227.71.2258297896995
Metrock, TomSEA3.517.801.068.24.2377586887588
Miller, KevinSEA5.138.570.888.45.2416291928186
Sanchez, WilfredoSEA4.108.391.208.90.2547090737078
Tuda, DunstanSEA3.205.531.248.84.2547772726878
Dorton, KennethSFG3.697.621.799.14.2577385504977
Fairthorne, BrianSFG2.615.961.098.96.2558275767478
Wilkie, DevinSFG3.215.321.189.61.2687771667170
Wolfson, NathanielSFG2.265.241.038.63.2498570827681
Doby, SeanSTL2.889.000.435.82.179809414397121
Joyce, MikeSTL3.407.600.897.48.22476851018196
Soutsos, MaxSTL1.788.160.657.43.22089891128998
Telon, GustavoSTL2.615.230.888.81.2548270848178
McComish, AdamTBR3.166.880.959.27.2627881777974
Newton, AlanTBR5.026.831.118.95.2556380767378
Townson, PaulTBR4.668.911.088.39.2436693847485
Williams, TravanisTBR3.777.781.339.15.2577386676577
Bosworth, CoreyTOR2.257.100.637.81.23185821079092
Castilla, AlejandroTOR1.976.641.108.21.2388779867388
Ciuffreda, ChrisTOR3.065.730.918.60.2497973868081
Duff, BrianTOR2.575.031.108.98.2578269757377
Fibbin, PaulTOR2.255.220.859.70.2718570768269
Hoving, TomTOR2.697.191.347.77.2318182816592
Ontario, FernandoTOR2.796.380.588.40.24381771019285
Poland, MikeTOR4.128.450.847.69.22470901038296
Shuman, MaxTOR3.0910.000.716.67.2027810012087108
Singer, BrianTOR2.264.360.6910.21.2828565758862
Beer, DaveWSN2.306.021.109.08.2588575757376
Nejin, CraigWSN3.667.610.957.61.22374851007996
Tibuni, AlbertusWSN3.026.160.658.70.2497976958981
Wilkinson, T.V.WSN2.066.410.878.80.2528778868180

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Is Pat (w)Right For Colorado?

Is he the (w)right gamble to make? Will he wri(gh)te the Rockies into playoff history? These are all play-on-words we could use to open discussions about the Rockies-Red Sox recent trade that sent much maligned veteran Pat Wright to the Mile High city.

The Red Sox fork over a large amount of cash considerations with Wright, but do collect a couple of prospects for the rebuild process. Frankie Sporer was the Rockies' first round pick a season ago. His development hasn't gone exactly according to plan, but he's still a promising prospect. His great fielding and switch hitting ability make him worthwhile to see out his full development. Also heading to Boston is relief prospect Shawn Tinsley. At 24, not much is expected, but scouts do feel he still has some upside left and could become a middle reliever with two major league pitches.

Wright was the highly sought after free agent during the 2022-23 winter in which he didn't actually sign until mid-April as teams continued to court him. He left St. Louis with 3.53 ERA and 47-36 record. To many it was a surprise to see him hit the open market since the Cardinals still had three years of team control (via arbitration) left.

While in Beantown, Pat Wright has not been the same. He did have a fine showing in 2023, possibly his best overall sabermetric season. However, he quickly struggled thereafter and has a 4.82 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 111 Games with the Red Sox. Though his DICE has been very solid at 3.74 and a good 0.91 HR/9.

The question is, "does his lack of performance have to do with a lack of supporting cast or lost talents?" The fact that Boston is rebuilding and on pace for its fourth straight ninety-plus loss season could be a large factor. But scouts have also remarked in recent years Wright's change-up and curveball have been less deceptive as they were from '19 to '23.

This will be interesting to see how this plays out. Coors field isn't exactly where you want to go to straighten out pitching problems. GM Matty Nokes has been known to get the most out of his players and it's possible winning will cure Wright's ailments.

For full trade details click here.

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Natural Position Change vs Manual Position Change

There's many people who erroneously think that allowing a player to play a new position will get you random vitals when the player is changed. That's not true. They aren't random and you can keep tabs on your natural position changes. Even if they already have the position as a secondary position, when they change it'll be a reflection of their actual performance over the past two seasons. Using these checks is a nice thing to do throughout the process so you know if you need to abort the natural position change or if it's going smoothly. I've converted many players doing this (Ken Smith, Paul Finnell, Ross Elless for example) and I've aborted a handful as well (Jose Rabena to LF).

Some may think this is cheating, but I surely don't. Mogul's manual position changes don't make sense. Like where a SS overall gets worse by moving to 2B or the lack of a drop from going from LF to CF. This gives you a much better and realistic position change. It isn't always what I'd use, but in instances where the player fits better at a new position it's a nice tool to have.

- If you start a player at a position different than his primary position for two consecutive seasons, he will likely change to that new position after the re-signing period in the second year.

--- The player has to make the majority of his starts at the new position in consecutive years.

--- The player must make at least 30 starts at the new position in consecutive years (It used to be 50 games and Mogul changed it within the past few versions).

--- The player's new predicted (vitals) will be the average of his performance at the new position over the past two seasons (odd fractions will round up, i.e. 7.5 would round up to 8, but 8.5 would stay at 8)

EXAMPLE
I have done this with Ross Elless, moving him to CF.

2025: 118 G, 7 A, 260 PO, 0 DP, 3 E
2024: 86 G, 9 A, 204 PO, 1 DP, 1 E (ATL and COL combined)

He should have a predicted CF defense of:
102 G, 8 A, 232 PO, 0 DP, 2 E (as of Off-Season File Season 17)

By opening up a new game, you can edit some CF's predicted stats to see what he'd look like.

Monday, November 21, 2011

2024 Colorado Rockies Top 10 Prospects

It’s been awhile since we’ve done this. Since the last top ten was released only four players from the list remain with the Rockies (Tom Stalbans, Aaron Brand, Brent Ruediger, and Joesph Axmacher). Out of that group the star at the moment is Brand who currently has a .924 OPS in what’s amounted to one and a third of season’s worth of games. Stalbans, like his name may suggest, has stalled out a bit. He’s seen action in every season since ’20, but doesn’t look like much more than an injury call-up. Axmacher showed last year he’s major league quality with only an 0.49 HR/9, but after an injury in Spring Training he’s been slow to regain his form. Ruediger may wind up the best of the group. He might not strikeout many batters, but he has exceptionally good control and has gotten off to a solid start in 2024. The new top ten don’t have any players with “superstar” written on them, but there are many players who have high floors that are safe bets to reach the majors and be solid major league players. So what does the new group have to offer?

10 Phil McMullin, 3B
2024 Age: 20 Drafted: HS--Enid, OK, 2023 (1st Round, 18th Overall), Rockies
ETA: 2028 Grade: C+

Colorado’s first round pick last year was a disappointment to say the least. He looked good on draft day and didn’t perform too bad during his first half season in the system, but he didn’t progress the way the Rockies had hoped. The good news is even as a right-handed, he hits righties just as good as he hits lefties. The worst case scenario has him on the bench with his slick fielding skills.


09 Ian Huggins, RHP
2024 Age: 23 Drafted: HS--Miami, FL, 2018 (4th Round, 119th Overall), Yankees
ETA: 2025 Grade: C+

The Rockies have had their eye on Huggins ever since the Reds picked him up. After many attempts Reds GM JPS finally let go of the starting pitcher. Huggins isn’t an imposing talent, but he projects to have three MLB quality pitches and has been a low home run pitcher during his minor league career (something needed to pitch in Coors). While he’s not going to headline a rotation, he can very well become a #4/5 starter who’ll exceed a lot of expectations.

08 Dan Turkenkopf, C
2024 Age: 20 Drafted: HS--Lanett, AL, 2021 (6th Round, 160th Overall), White Sox
ETA: 2027 Grade: B-

Just acquired prior to Opening Day, the Rockies are hoping either Turkenkopf or Frank Anderson can develop into Gabriel Gamora’s heir apparent. Turk does have some holes that are a concern; hitting for average and fielding. If he can improve upon those areas worthy of the majors, he’ll be a good one. He already has a solid arm and plate discipline for his age and he’s also a switch hitter.


07 Margo Alvarez, SS
2024 Age: 19 Drafted: HS--Caracas, Venezuela, 2021 (2nd Round, 41st Overall), Rockies
ETA: 2028 Grade: B-

Alvarez has been a favorite of GM Matty Nokes since he was drafted as a 16 year old back in ’21. He is still very raw in many areas, but he had a very nice season at Single-A Modesto last season. Though even with the good numbers, Colorado is taking is slow with him and he’ll return for a second season. He’ll certainly be an interesting prospect to watch over the next few years.

06 Jason Wilborn, CF
2024 Age: 22 Drafted: Fresno State University, 2023 (1st Round, 27th Overall), Rockies
ETA: 2026 Grade: B-

Colorado traded a pair of second rounders and cash to move up to Houston's spot to select Wilborn last season. Wilborn has a good eye and should develop his power to become an OPS threat. The downside is his fielding. Overall, it’s subpar and a position change to one of the corners may be needed. But his upside should carry him to becoming a quality major leaguer.


05 Charles Bickford, 1B
2024 Age: 23 Drafted: University of North Carolina, 2021 (1st Round, 11th Overall), Rockies
ETA: 2025 Grade: B

In addition to playing first base, Bickford can also play the outfield. It’s true he hasn’t developed as expected, but he can still become starter material. He does have solid power and should walk at a high rate. Scouts knock his contact ability, but the Rockies think he’ll out hit the expectations. Bickford does strikeout a lot which leads to a lower contact grade, but should still hit for a decent average.

04 Dave McGreenan, 2B
2024 Age: 20 Drafted: HS--West Salem, OH, 2023 (1st Round, 25th Overall), Astros
ETA: 2028 Grade: B

McGreenan was one of the prizes from the Chitty-Duarez deal. He’s one of the three middle infielders on this list and has the highest potential of the infielders. He may be in need of a position change in the future with his poor range, but he does have good speed and his hitting skills look good for a player his age. With a full season, McGreenan will have a chance to really show his skills off.

03 Jason Barker, 2B
2024 Age: 21 Drafted: HS--Philadelphia, PA, 2020 (2nd Round, 45th Overall), Rockies
ETA: 2026 Grade: B

Barker has turned into a nice find in the middle of the second round. He’s impressed since being drafted with putting up good numbers at each level. The Rockies would like to see him walk a little more and further improvement on his fielding, but with another season of development he should become the starting second baseman, moving Aaron Brand to left field.


02 Paul Landreau, RHP
2024 Age: 22 Drafted: University of North Carolina, 2022 (3rd Round, 67th Overall), Red Sox
ETA: 2025 Grade: B

A college teammate of Charles Bickford, Landreau would be #1 on this list if he wasn’t a reliever. But he is and what a good one he’s shaping into. His Triple-A stats this year are phenomenal (0.45 ERA, 9.9 K/9) and he might be ready for the majors right now. For now a current rookie, Aaron Greer, is doing well as a closer and it’s likely Colorado won’t bring Landreau up unless he’s closing. With a 95 MPH fastball and an above average slider, he looks the part of a quality closer.

01 Jason Pool, LHP
2024 Age: 24 Drafted: University of Florida, 2021 (5th Round, 126th Overall), Angels
ETA: 2025 Grade: B+

He’s the final piece to a young, resurgent rotation. To some Pool might not look that good, but Colorado acquired him from Detroit since he had shown to be a low home run pitcher and was a candidate to convert to starter. So far he’s had a nice transition and has a solid repertoire. He might get a call-up at some point this season, but he won’t be up full-time until next season.

*Note: ETA = Full-Time In Majors (Not Initial Call-Up Date)*