Sunday, April 5, 2020

2097 Off-Season Trade Review


ATL Gets:
SP Gunyoung Acencio 74/90
SP Howard Woodcock 51/86
RP Adam Riddell 78
SEA 3rd Round Pick

SEA Gets:
SP Matt Hanson

I really thought Atlanta made out very well in this deal. Hanson is solid (and had a great 2096), but this isn’t real life where a pitcher can actually build off of a great year and figure things out. This is Mogul and Hanson has shown to be a slightly above average pitcher. And again, there’s nothing wrong with that. I just don’t think he’s as valuable as what was given up.

Acencio looks really good. His movement will certainly be great and if his control can catch up, he could be a top of the rotation starter. Woody has an interesting build and only dropped two points when he aged. He’ll have plenty of time to develop and should be a mid-rotation starter (if not better).

Both of those guys plus a 3rd and only having to take on Riddell’s $8M is quite the haul for Hanson. Also, considering pitchers that show some resemblance of power and a lower GB% generally pitch close to their DICE, I don’t think he’s a guy that you can prop up with elite defense. Maybe Hanson will start living up to his vitals, but he’s shown enough to think he’ll simply be a solid 3.75-4.00 ERA arm.


CHW Gets:
1B Steve Kinlaw 61/85
LF David Hicks 69/90

MON Gets:
SP Barry Crane 71/88
RF Anselm Parker 67/83
RP Sean Revill 67/76

I was a little baffled why a rebuilding team would give up two solid prospects for one solid prospect. I think Kinlaw becomes a very good bat vs RHP (and it’s not tough to find a platoon partner vs LHP) and I’m pretty intrigued with Hicks. He’s certainly not ideal in the outfield, but should be tolerable there. His bat looks like it’ll develop into quite the balanced threat. While he won’t set any leaderboards on fire, I look for him to hit for a solid average, some pop, and draw a decent number of walks (as well as quietly swipe a few bags).

Parker looks solid (like Hicks), but looses a lot of appeal when you consider that he’ll age in March and probably only has another three years to develop after that. Maybe he catches a nice jump, but I don’t see him being more than a startable placeholder for rebuilding teams. Crane has a decent build and hasn’t dropped much when he’s aged. However, I can’t shake the thought that he’ll develop into just an ordinary bottom of the rotation pitcher. Revill? Yeah, he exists.



TEX Gets:
SS Iyasu Shimizu 85

FLA Gets:
SP Lance Walder 80

This probably isn’t that big of a trade (talent wise), but the salary implications make it one. Walder is nothing more than rebuild fodder and, aside from a random 2094, Shimizu has been shoddy at best. The big win is Florida, who saves almost $42M.



WSH Gets:
$10M Cash

LAA Gets:
1B Paul Lucey 86
SS Chris Nowak 75/80
SP Rafael Cavieles 80
SP Leon Burdman 80

Even if you take Lucey’s contract at the buyout value with also giving $10M cash, this is giving over $55M total for a few roster fillers.

Nowak is great defensively, but he doesn’t do much offensively. His contact is putrid, he can’t draw walks, despite a decent power rating he hasn’t shown anything in the minors, and again despite solid speed he doesn’t steal bases. Cavieles looks solid, but is also 30, so the value on him is quite limited. Burdman is passable for one of the last couple of bullpen slots, but is a guy that you jettison off your roster if he ever drops. In the end, I just have to think that you can do more for yourself than spending over $55M on these players.

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